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70% of physio patients never finish their treatment plan.

We analysed patient databases across APAC physiotherapy practices. The pattern is universal: the vast majority of patients lapse before completing care, and almost none are being followed up. Here's the opportunity.

routiq.ai

01 - The Market

Physiotherapy is one of the largest allied health professions in APAC.

$3.9B
Australian physiotherapy industry revenue (2025)
47,761
AHPRA-registered physiotherapists in Australia
9,497
Physiotherapy businesses across Australia
6.4%
Annual registration growth, above the AHPRA average
42.3M Medicare-funded allied health services per year
4.2% industry CAGR over 5 years
4th largest AHPRA-regulated profession

Sources: AHPRA, IBISWorld, AIHW - routiq.ai/statistics

02 - The Problem

But patients are disappearing mid-treatment.

70%
Of physio patients never complete their full plan of care
20%
Drop out after just 3 visits, before treatment has taken effect
55%
Self-discharge rate among chronic pain patients

A typical physio care plan runs 6-12 sessions. Most patients feel some improvement by session 3-4 and stop coming. They're not cured. They're just past the acute pain. Without follow-up, they regress, re-injure, or find another provider.

Sources: WebPT, JOSPT Open - routiq.ai/statistics

03 - The Cost

Patient attrition is the single biggest drag on practice revenue.

5-25x
More expensive to acquire a new patient than retain an existing one
$10K+
Revenue lost per practitioner annually from just 2 weekly no-shows
80%
Of marketing budgets spent on acquisition, not retention

43% of healthcare organisations lose more than 10% of revenue to poor retention. One in five loses more than 20%.

A single missed appointment increases disengagement likelihood by 70%. One no-show often means the patient never returns.

Sources: Bain & Company, Dialog Health, TrackStat - routiq.ai/statistics

04 - What We Found

We analysed patient databases across APAC physiotherapy practices.

27,000+
Patients across a multi-location physiotherapy group. 5 clinics, 12 practitioners, 155,000+ historical appointments.
700+
Patients at a specialist sports rehab clinic. Solo practitioner, high-touch model, course-based treatment.

Different sizes. Different models. Different markets. The same pattern emerged in both.

05 - The Pattern
97.5%
of patients are inactive

In the multi-location practice, only 2.5% of the patient base had been seen in the last 90 days. Nearly 40% hadn't visited in over 3 years. Another 43% were leads or initial contacts who never converted into active patients.

0-30d
1.5%
31-90d
1.0%
91-180d
1.6%
6-12 mo
3.0%
1-2 yr
5.6%
2-3 yr
5.6%
3+ yr
39.1%
Never seen
42.6%

Multi-location practice, 27,000+ patients

06 - The Gap

The retention gap in physiotherapy

No system.

Most physio practices rely on patients rebooking themselves at reception. There is no automated, treatment-plan-aware recall system that follows up when patients drop off mid-care. The patients are reachable. The clinical need is there. The system isn't.

14,700+ lapsed patients reachable by SMS
<1% SMS opt-out rate
80% of marketing spend goes to acquisition
07 - The Segments

Four patient groups hiding in every physio database.

70%
Care Plan Dropouts
Started treatment but stopped before completing their prescribed plan. Felt better but aren't better. The biggest segment in every practice.
3-8 sessions remaining per patient
39%
Long-Lapsed Patients
Haven't been seen in over 3 years. Completed a course or drifted away. Need annual check-ups, maintenance, or help with new injuries.
Highest lifetime value if reactivated
1,480+
No-Show Recovery
Booked and didn't arrive. Intent existed. One missed appointment increases dropout risk by 70%.
Warmest leads in the database
43%
Initial Contact Only
Enquired, registered, or had a single assessment but never started a full treatment plan. Never converted.
$0 lifetime value currently

Analysis: Feb 2026 - routiq.ai

08 - The Revenue

What does this mean in dollars?

Using Australian private physiotherapy benchmarks, we modelled conservative reengagement scenarios. Even modest reactivation rates deliver significant revenue uplift.

$90-$130 per private physio session (AU)
6-8 sessions in a typical care plan
SegmentPoolRecoverable Revenue
Care Plan Dropouts~3,800$190K - $380K
Long-Lapsed Patients~10,500$315K - $630K
No-Show Recovery~1,480$44K - $88K
Initial Contact Conversion~11,500$172K - $345K

At 5-10% reengagement, a practice this size has a recoverable opportunity of $720K - $1.4M from patients already in the database.

Revenue modelled on AU private physio rates ($110 avg session, 6-session avg course = $660 patient value)

09 - Industry Validation

These aren't aspirational numbers. They're industry benchmarks.

15-25%
Of lapsed patients successfully re-engaged via targeted recall campaigns
42%
Click-through rate on healthcare SMS messages
38%
Reduction in no-shows from SMS reminders alone
97-99%
SMS read rate vs 80-90% phone contact rate
25-95%
Profit increase from just 5% retention improvement
67%
Increase in appointment attendance with SMS engagement

Sources: JMIR, BMC Health, Klara/PMC, Dialog Health - routiq.ai/statistics

10 - The Question

“Patients drop off. That's just how physio works. What can you actually do about it?”

It's not inevitable. Patients don't drop off because they've decided they're done. They drop off because they feel a bit better, get busy, and nobody follows up at the right moment with the right message.

11 - The Science

Behavioral science applied to patient retention.

Routiq's messaging engine is built on 82 proven cognitive principles from Nobel Prize-winning research in behavioral economics and psychology.

Applied to physiotherapy, these frameworks address the specific psychological reasons patients drop out: they feel better (not the same as being better), the next session feels optional, and rebooking requires effort.

Loss AversionCommitment & ConsistencySocial ProofShrink the ChangeImplementation IntentionsFeedback LoopsIdentity-Based HabitsDefault EffectsPlanning PromptsPratfall EffectPeak-End RuleBackcasting

From: Kahneman, Thaler, Cialdini, Fogg, Clear, Heath, and more.

12 - In Practice: Care Plan Dropouts

Commitment & Consistency: People want to finish what they started.

The same patient. The same situation. Completely different outcomes.

Generic message
“Hi! We noticed you haven't been in for a while. Would you like to book your next physio appointment?”
Behaviorally optimised
“Hi James, you've completed 4 of your 8 planned sessions and made great progress on your shoulder mobility. Your physio Dylan has your next session ready to go. Would mornings or afternoons work better this week?”
Commitment (4 of 8 completed)Feedback loop (progress noted)Planning prompt (morning or afternoon?)Continuity (your physio Dylan)
13 - In Practice: Lapsed & No-Shows

Long-Lapsed Patients

Loss Aversion + Backcasting

Behaviorally optimised
“Hi Sarah, it's been about 18 months since your last visit with us for your lower back. Many patients find that a quick annual check-in helps catch small issues before they become big ones. We have a 15-minute assessment slot available this week if you'd like to pop in.”

References their specific history. Reframes follow-up as prevention, not treatment. Shrinks the ask to 15 minutes.

No-Show Recovery

Pratfall Effect + Make It Easy

Behaviorally optimised
“Hi Tom, we know life gets in the way sometimes. We've held your treatment plan open and your physio Jade has a spot on Thursday. Reply YES to confirm, or let us know a time that works better.”

Zero guilt. Treatment plan is still “held open” (status quo). One-word reply to rebook. Named practitioner for continuity.

14 - The Campaign Architecture

Every campaign follows a 3-touch behavioral sequence.

Touch 1 - Day 1

Commitment & Progress

“You've completed 4 of 8 sessions and made real progress...”

Remind them of investment and gains

Touch 2 - Day 4

Default Effect

“Your physio has a session ready for you on Thursday. Reply YES to lock it in.”

Remove friction, make YES easy

Touch 3 - Day 8

Loss Aversion

“Without the remaining sessions, the progress you've made may not hold long-term.”

Risk of losing what they've gained

Three messages. Three psychological mechanisms. Personalised with their treatment history, practitioner name, and care plan progress.

15 - Why Routiq

Three layers no one else has.

01

Clinical Intelligence

Integrates with your PMS. Knows each patient's treatment plan, how many sessions they've completed, who their practitioner is, what they were treated for, and how long they've been away.

02

Behavioral Science

82 proven principles from Nobel Prize-winning research. Commitment & consistency for care plan dropouts. Loss aversion for lapsed patients. Zero-guilt framing for no-shows. Applied automatically.

03

Automation at Scale

Monitors every patient, every treatment plan, every location. Sends from your clinic's own number. AI-powered replies. Works 24/7 across all practitioners. Zero admin hours.

16 - Competitive Position

Why not your front desk, your PMS, or a marketing agency?

CapabilityFront Desk / PMS / AgencyRoutiq
Knows James completed 4 of 8 sessions for his shoulderNo - sees “last visit 6 weeks ago”Yes - treatment plan tracking
Follows up the day a patient misses a scheduled sessionMaybe - if reception remembersYes - automated same-day follow-up
Applies behavioral science to each patient segmentNoYes - segment-specific frameworks
Sends from the clinic's own numberUsually no (agencies)Yes - white-label
Handles patient replies with clinical contextDuring business hours onlyInstant, AI-powered, 24/7
Scales across multiple practitioners and locationsManual / expensiveYes - automatically
Identifies at-risk patients before they lapseNoYes - predictive flagging
17 - The Compound Effect

Retention compounds. Attrition compounds too.

Every patient who completes their care plan is more likely to return for future injuries, refer friends and family, and become a lifetime patient. Every one who drops off is a lifetime loss.

A 5% improvement in retention delivers a 25-95% increase in profit.

Example: 5-practitioner clinic, $110/session

Month 1
$18K
Month 2
$35K
Month 3
$54K
Month 4
$75K
Month 5
$98K
Month 6
$125K

Cumulative recovered revenue from care plan completions + reactivated patients

18 - Your Practice

What does this look like for your clinic?

Your patient databaseEstimated lapsed (~85%)Conservative (5%)Moderate (10%)
1,000 patients850$28K$56K
3,000 patients2,550$84K$168K
10,000 patients8,500$280K$561K
25,000 patients21,250$701K$1.4M

Based on average course value of $660 (6 sessions at $110). Industry benchmarks show 15-25% reengagement is achievable with targeted recall campaigns. Even 5% delivers meaningful returns.

19 - The Bottom Line

With Routiq vs. without.

Without Routiq

  • 70% of patients drop off before completing care
  • No follow-up when patients miss sessions
  • Thousands of lapsed patients sitting idle
  • Revenue dependent on new patient acquisition
  • No system for care plan adherence
  • Front desk too busy to chase dropouts

With Routiq

  • Every dropout followed up automatically
  • Behavioral science campaigns running daily
  • Care plan completion rates improving
  • Revenue growth from existing patient base
  • Treatment-plan-aware recall system
  • Zero admin overhead, 24/7 operation
20

Your patients didn't quit because they were unhappy with your care.

They quit because they started feeling better and nobody reminded them they weren't done yet.

They're still in your database. They still trust you. They just need the right nudge at the right moment.

How many patients are you losing to silence?

routiq.ai

routiq.

Clinical Intelligence Meets Behavioral Science
routiq.ai

Sources

AHPRA Annual Report 2024 · IBISWorld · AIHW
WebPT · JOSPT Open · Bain & Company / HBR
JMIR · BMC Health Services Research · Dialog Health
Klara / PMC · TrackStat · Etactics
routiq.ai/statistics

Data from APAC physiotherapy practices. All identifying details anonymised. Analysis: February 2026.